Western Ohio Cropland Values and Cash Rents 2023-24

The Western Ohio Cropland Values and Cash Rents study was conducted earlier this year from January through April. This opinion-based study surveyed professionals with a knowledge of Ohio’s cropland values and rental rates. Professionals surveyed were rural appraisers, agricultural lenders, professional farm managers, ag business professionals, OSU Extension educators, farmers, landowners, and Farm Service Agency personnel. The study results are based on 131 surveys.

Respondents were asked to group their estimates based on three land quality classes: average, top, and bottom. Within each land-quality class, respondents were asked to estimate average corn and soybean yields for a five-year period based on typical farming practices. Survey respondents were also asked to estimate current bare cropland values and cash rents negotiated in the current or recent year for each land-quality class. Survey results are summarized below for western Ohio with regional summaries (subsets of western Ohio) for northwest Ohio and southwest Ohio.

Results from the Western Ohio Cropland Values and Cash Rents Survey show cropland values in western Ohio are expected to increase in 2024 by 3.3 to 5.8 percent depending on the region and land class. Cash rents are expected to increase from 3.2 to 3.8 percent in 2024 depending on the region and land class. Decreasing profit margins have competed with relatively strong farm equity positions and increasing property taxes to direct values and rents so far in 2024. Cropland values and cash rents are expected to increase although they are projected to be smaller increases than the past two years.

Factors Important to Ohio Cropland Values and Cash Rents

The primary factors affecting these values and rents are land productivity and potential crop return, and the variability of those crop returns. Soils, fertility and drainage/irrigation capabilities are primary factors that most influence land productivity, crop return and variability of those crop returns.

Other factors impacting land values and cash rents may include field size and shape, field accessibility, market access, local market prices, field perimeter characteristics and potential for wildlife damage, buildings and grain storage, previous tillage system and crops, tolerant/resistant weed populations, USDA Program Yields, population density, and competition for the cropland in a region. Factors specific to cash rental rates may include services provided by the operator, property taxes and specific conditions of the lease. This fact sheet summarizes the survey research data collected for western Ohio cropland values and cash rents:

https://farmoffice.osu.edu/farm-management-tools/farm-management-publications/cash-rents

Projected Estimates of Land Values and Cash Rents

Survey respondents were asked to give their best estimates for long-term land value and cash rent change. The average estimate of cropland value change in the next five years for western Ohio is an increase of 3.6 percent (for the entire five-year period). Responses for the five-year cropland value change ranged from an increase of 50 percent to a decrease of 50 percent.

The average estimate of cash rent change in the next five years is an increase of 2.7 percent. The cash rent change also had a large range, with responses ranging from an increase of 25 percent to a decrease of 50 percent.

Interest Rates

Survey respondents were also asked to estimate 2024 interest rates for two borrowing terms: 20 year fixed-rate mortgage and operating loan. The average estimate, according to survey respondents, of 20 year fixed-rate mortgage borrowing is 7.1 percent. According to the same respondents, the average estimate of operating loan interest rates is 8.3 percent.

The full survey research summary can be found at the Farm Office website: https://farmoffice.osu.edu/farm-management-tools/farm-management-publications/cash-rents